QUESTION: Nature and activities: how to assess weather and risks?

Assessing weather conditions and associated risks is a key element of safety in any nature trip. Experienced travelers and guides recommend using the tried-and-true seventy-thirty rule, which helps to properly allocate strength and resources. According to this rule, seventy percent of your route, activities, and time must be strictly fixed, planned, and provided with necessary reserves.

The remaining thirty percent of the route should be left for spontaneity, unforeseen circumstances, weather whims, and proper rest. This gives you flexibility: if a storm suddenly starts or your health worsens, you will have a time and space reserve to safely change your plans without disrupting the main schedule.

When assessing risks, always study local climatic features, monitor weather forecasts from official sources, and consult with locals or rescuers. Never neglect warnings from emergency services or similar agencies in the region of your stay, because nature does not forgive frivolity.