Currency risk·4 questions

QUESTION: Currency risk: currency hedging — when does it make sense?

Answer

Hedging currency risks using specialized financial instruments does not always make sense, but only under certain conditions. Before deciding to protect your portfolio, it is useful to carefully calculate the baseline scenario of market development and a stress scenario with a sharp drop in the national currency exchange rate. Always build in a time and financial buffer of 10–20 percent so that excessive insurance costs do not eat into the potential returns of your investments.

Decide in advance which specific expenses or regular contributions you are ready to cut first if hedging costs turn out to be too high. The use of futures, options, or other derivative financial instruments is justified for large portfolios when an investor cannot simply sell risky assets due to tax consequences or infrastructure restrictions. If the investment horizon is less than a year and the currency position is small, the costs of maintaining a hedge may exceed the benefit of the protection itself.

To properly assess the feasibility of currency hedging, follow a simple algorithm.

Assess the total share of currency assets in your portfolio and compare it with your future liabilities in foreign currency.
Calculate the cost of hedging instruments for the year, including broker and exchange commissions as well as maintenance costs for the margin requirement.
Compare the cost of insurance with potential losses from a possible strengthening of the national currency within a stress scenario.
Make an informed decision on partial or complete position protection if the probable damage significantly exceeds the hedging costs.
Regularly monitor the effectiveness of the chosen protection strategy and close insurance positions when macroeconomic factors change.
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